Office leasing in Charlotte's center city
is the slowest since the early 1990s recession, but the majority of
the nation's 50 largest markets are doing worse.
Only five cities -- Raleigh; Bakersfield,
Calif.; Milwaukee; Sacramento and Washington -- reported better
downtown occupancy rates than Charlotte in the first quarter. In a
nationwide survey, Colliers International pegged Charlotte's center
city vacancy rate at 10.3 percent compared to the national average
of 15.1 percent.
"You can attribute that basically to
the fact that the banks have maintained a stable employment base in
the downtown area," said real estate analyst Frank Warren of
Frank Warren & Associates. "Their space needs have remained
fairly constant."
But double-digit vacancy rates are unusual
in the center city, which was reporting just under 5 percent a year
ago.
Over the past two years, Wachovia and Bank
of America have vacated leased space in some uptown buildings and
consolidated offices in the center city. And new buildings such as
the 46-story Hearst Tower have opened, luring tenants out of older,
less desirable offices.
Colliers International counted only about
100,000 square feet of space under construction in the core -- good
news for building owners who must compete with new offices.
"Charlotte is more fortunate than some
of those other cities, because developers here put the brakes on new
construction early," Warren said.
Atlanta, which the Charlotte Chamber
visited last week with about 100 business and civic leaders, is
reporting a vacancy rate of 13 percent with 1.24 million square feet
under construction.
In parts of Atlanta's core, developers have
begun converting vacant office buildings to loft apartments and
condominiums, giving up on leasing to office tenants.
Could that happen in Charlotte, which is
enjoying a resurgence in center city residential development?
Probably not, the experts say.
"Where that has worked, the buildings
have been older, with smaller floors and in close walking distance
to jobs," Warren said. "We have such a limited base of
those buildings here."
Also, said Tim Newman, president of
Charlotte Center City Partners, "We still have enough land in
the center city and the capability to do new residential development
tailored to certain market segments."
Colliers International put Charlotte's
first-quarter suburban office vacancy rate at 19.7 percent.
Most real estate experts consider 10
percent an optimum vacancy rate, because it indicates the market has
space to accommodate expanding and relocating businesses.
Charlotte's center city competes well
against larger cities, because many companies consider uptown rental
rates a bargain for space in a financial hub near two of the
nation's largest banks.
Also, tenants get amenities for employees
along with their leases in the skyscrapers.
In the first quarter, uptown landlords were
quoting an average $22.90 a square foot annual rent for Class A
space, generally considered the market's newest and finest.
That's a good deal, Warren said, because
parking in the center city is affordable, restaurants are abundant
and "the synergy of uses makes downtown a desirable place to
be."
In Boston, for example, landlords were
quoting an average Class A downtown rate of $43.50 a square foot in
the first quarter.
Uptown Charlotte has slightly more than 1.3
million square feet of vacant office space. In recent weeks, tenant
interest has picked up, real estate salespeople say.
But Charlotte real estate forecasters don't
expect the market to regain pre-recession momentum until next year,
when economists say job generation and business expansion could
increase.
Colliers International predicts that the
national office market will "hobble along" for the
foreseeable future.
"Significant job losses in February,
March and April suggest businesses across the country continue to
reduce headcounts wherever possible, leaving demand for office
premises at extremely low levels," the real estate firm wrote
in its first quarter survey.
With more than 55.4 million square feet of
offices under construction nationwide, Colliers International said,
vacancy rates likely will continue rising as rental rates decline.
The national overall office vacancy rate of
1rcent could rise to 17 percent this year and 2004, the firm said.